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Oct 24, 2014
9:21:05am
A reminder about what to expect from Boise State tonight:

Boise State is 85th in the country at punt returns and 124th in kickoff returns.

On offense, they are 11th in the country in getting at least one first down or a touchdown. (FEI)
BYU is 66th in the country at keeping opposing offenses from getting at least one first down or TD.

They 27th in the country at yards earned by the offense divided by the total number of yards available based on starting field position. (FEI)
BYU is 61st at keeping teams from getting all their available yardage.

They are 17th in the country at the percentage of each offense's drives that run 10 or more plays. (FEI)
BYU is 117th (out of 128 teams) at keeping opponents' drives under 10 plays.

They are 12th in the country at running the ball and 15th in the country at converting on passing downs. (S&P+)
BYU is 92nd at stopping the run and 88th in the country at stopping offenses on passing downs.

These numbers are all adjusted of course for opponent strength.

Boise State is 14th in the country at adjusted pace (Tempo). BYU is 8th in adjusted pace. Between the two of them and Boise's ability to march all the way down the field running the ball and converting third downs combined with BYU's lack of depth, they are going to wear our defense out.

We have to hope Hedrick has one of his 4 INT nights with a few fumbles thrown in. Unfortunately, BYU's defense is only rated 60th in the country at Havoc rate - % of total plays that result in TFL, forced fumbles and passes defensed.

Air Force and Ole Miss both have high to above-average ratings for DB Havoc rate, which may help explain Hedrick's 4 INT days against both teams.

I'm telling you right now, don't forget to credit Boise State for doing well tonight in areas where they typically do very well and taking advantage of where BYU is weak instead of just trashing our coaching staff for not all of a sudden turning our defense into superheroes.

This message has been modified
Originally posted on Oct 24, 2014 at 9:21:05am
Message modified by nephicoug on Oct 24, 2014 at 9:25:23am
Message modified by nephicoug on Oct 24, 2014 at 9:37:21am
nephicoug
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