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Oct 30, 2014
9:54
:53
pm
ayfan
Louisville has a very below average punter so assuming an average return is
being pretty optimistic.
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ayfan
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ayfan
Joined
Jan 1, 2007
Last login
Nov 14, 2021
Total posts
7,139 (5 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
If I were Petrino, I take a safety with 3:50 left to make it 31-30 and make FSU
Cougarmus Prime
10/30/14 9:05pm
Yes. You are wrong
BlueFrog
10/30/14 9:07pm
If you do that a field goal beats you rather than simply tying the game.
dfudge
10/30/14 9:07pm
True. But as it was, FSU only needed to go 40 yards for a TD and the lead.
garyfan
10/30/14 9:13pm
It's a ridiculous idea. They wouldn't have had to go much more than 40 yards
rggee
10/30/14 9:19pm
But if Louisville can hold FSU to 20 yards, punting is stupid because with only
garyfan
10/30/14 9:33pm
lol true. But you make decisions that give you the best probability of a win.
rggee
10/30/14 9:35pm
What gives you the best probability of a win depends on what you think your
garyfan
10/30/14 9:37pm
Louisvilles last 3 punts were 31,31 and 32 yards. And on those punts
ayfan
10/30/14 9:50pm
Only a great kicker could push them back to the 25 on a kick after a safety
rggee
10/30/14 10:00pm
okay so maybe not the 25, but Louisville does have an elite kicker
ayfan
10/30/14 10:10pm
not sure how you expect to give them the ball on their own 25. That's extremely
The Dude Abides
10/30/14 10:02pm
Uh......no
rggee
10/30/14 9:07pm
You think giving them points and the ball is better than just giving them the
workindev
10/30/14 9:08pm
Yes, Prime said that.....
Heinz57
10/30/14 9:09pm
Wow. That is 10 times worse than the idiotic Wyoming decision in 96.
Shimmy
10/30/14 9:12pm
thats exactly what i though of
Azul_Rust
10/30/14 9:14pm
I'm with these fellas.
The Dude Abides
10/30/14 9:12pm
Greenrake dup account?
newey-west
10/30/14 9:14pm
hindsight: your's may have given a better result
libertycoug
10/30/14 9:15pm
Lot of people here disagreeing with you, but I think you're right
BertoChavez
10/30/14 9:38pm
An average punt puts them at midfield. An average safety return gets to the 40
Shimmy
10/30/14 9:48pm
But you don't get an average punt from your end zone. You almost always get a
BertoChavez
10/30/14 9:51pm
You kick from the 20 after a safety. Do you really want to give up 2 points
The Dude Abides
10/30/14 9:53pm
Yep. Even 20 yards isn't worth 2 point in a 3 point game.
Shimmy
10/30/14 9:55pm
Wrong. You don't get an average punt from the back of your endzone.
Shimmy
10/30/14 9:55pm
The effect isn't as bad when you still have the full ~15 yards to snap, but it's
BertoChavez
10/30/14 10:01pm
case in point: they got the ball at the 42.
BertoChavez
10/30/14 10:02pm
If you want to engage in result based analysis, I'm fine with that. That play
Shimmy
10/30/14 10:06pm
*6 rather than 4
garyfan
10/30/14 10:09pm
Probably 7 with 2 pts conversion
rggee
10/30/14 11:02pm
*7 or 5 rather than 4
garyfan
10/30/14 11:13pm
Louisville has a very below average punter so assuming an average return is
ayfan
10/30/14 9:54pm
Normally this would be a bad idea, but Louisville punter was averaging 36 yard
ayfan
10/30/14 9:44pm
He wasn't deep in the endzone. They could run their normal punt formation.
Shimmy
10/30/14 9:49pm
To clarify - not saying to do this in every similar instance. But to me, FSU
Cougarmus Prime
10/30/14 10:34pm
Ohhhh thanks for clarifying. Still wrong.
The Dude Abides
10/30/14 10:52pm
I bet you could get a position on Bronco's staff with these strategies!
dfudge
10/31/14 11:54am
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