The only two games that were particularly worrying were Texas and UCF. But one was going through a coaching change and the other had just lost its star quarterback.

There were a bunch of folks on here that, in the off season, were considering Houston to be a possible trap game or overlooked opponent that could turn into a loss. However, many/most considered last year's defensive performance against them to be a fluke and chalked it up to a probable win.

The Boise State game was intriguing, but not only had we just finished killing them in 2013, but they just lost their star coach. The fact that it was to be IN Boise meant that it wouldn't necessarily be easy, but it was not shaping up to being a probable loss by any stretch.

I distinctly remember someone bringing up Phil Steele's projection of 8 wins, and most saw it as an overly conservative estimate. By far, the prevailing opinion (on CB) in the off season was that with this (crappy) schedule, the minimum bar should be 10 wins. I don't have time right now, but I would be happy to go back and dig up the posts if you want.