90.7th percentile nationally (calling no upsets). I was curious enough to see how well it would compare that I entered it in my family pool.

I'm curious how much better or worse it did this year than other years, with three 1-seeds in the final four. Still, it would seem like it wouldn't fare any worse in years that lesser-seeds made the final four, simply because if there were that many upsets, the nation at large would have gotten it just as wrong as the Committee (likely worse).

Interestingly, if you also go by the top four overall seeds in the last three games, it appears that the nation has more points remaining to gain than the Committee, because Nova was the #2 overall seed, and most people picked Duke, the #3 overall, to lose to Kentucky.

Not a bad showing for the Committee, though.