From 2010-2014

Boise St. (average record) 11-2
In the last 5 years, BYU is 1-7 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 10-12 games. 1-1 at home.

@ Nebraska 9-4
In the last 5 years, BYU is 2-7 overall vs. BCS/P5 teams who have won 8-10 games. 1-4 on the road (Houston was in a BCS conference when we played them in '13)

N Missouri 9-4
In the last 5 years, BYU is 2-7 overall vs. BCS/P5 teams who have won 8-10 games. 0-1 in neutral games

Cincinnati 8-4
In the last 5 years, BYU is 8-3 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 7-9 games. 5-1 at home.

@ Michigan 8-5
In the last 5 years, BYU is 5-6 overall vs. BCS/P5 teams who have won 7-9 games. 2-3 in road games

@ UCLA 8-5
In the last 5 years, BYU is 5-6 overall vs. BCS/P5 teams who have won 7-9 games. 2-3 in road games

@ Utah St. 8-5
In the last 5 years, BYU is 8-3 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 7-9 games. 2-2 on the road.

Fresno St. 8-5
In the last 5 years, BYU is 8-3 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 7-9 games. 5-1 at home.

East Carolina 7-5
In the last 5 years, BYU is 8-1 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 6-8 games. 4-1 at home.

@ SJSU 5-7
In the last 5 years, BYU is 7-1 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 4-6 games. 3-1 on the road.

Uconn 4-8
In the last 5 years, BYU is 7-1 overall vs. FBS teams from outside of the BCS/P5 who have won 3-5 games. 5-0 at home.

If our team and our opponents are similar to what they have been over the last 5 years, one would expect BYU to be 7-5 after factoring in where the games will be played.