Hill hasn't done a ton either. And it's not like his junior year was meh. 3700 yds, 27 TDs, 64%, which may have been well over 4000 and a few more TDs if Watkins didn't have the issues he did. Maybe you can say he had it easier since the receiving corps wasn't that deep and RBs played a huge role in the receiving numbers. lots of easier, short passes to good RBs (something Hill hasn't done and/or had the chance to do much).

It wasn't based on nothing. He had a good junior year. All I'm saying is that Hill is a much bigger question mark because 1) he's been out so much and there's so little consistency, and 2), his own junior year wasn't necessarily showing a ton better than Beck's. He was on pace for like 2600 and 18 TDs, which isn't good but then obviously he adds a whole bunch of rushing TDs.

I'm just saying Hill's own history has him an even bigger question mark for what will happen this year. I don't think it's crazy to take Beck. And Hill may also have a crazy year, who knows.