ECU's defense is #83 in S&P+, 14 spots below UConn, so we shouldn't have any trouble racking up yards. Their offense is right next to ours in S&P+, but that's because of how much trouble we've had finishing drives. Our passing and rushing ratings are much higher than our overall rating; if we could finish drives reasonably well, we would have a top-20 offense (in terms of S&P+), maybe even top-10.
If we have trouble finishing drives, it will be a struggle. But if we finish drives, we should win, and the more sound our defense is in playing within the system, the bigger of a win it will be. If our defense makes a lot of mistakes, it will be a shootout.