BYU vs. Toledo (Friday, 10:15 p.m. ET)
No team looks lousier on paper but actually is on the brink of being really good than BYU. The Cougars are just 1-3, but those three losses have come by a combined seven points. Thankfully, they should get a nice, easy home game against Toledo before a brutal road trip to Michigan State next weekend, right? Not exactly.

Toledo is more than a formidable MAC opponent; it is a mid-major force. The Rockets are 3-0, coming off a 10-win season and have plenty of experience picking up big road wins (after defeating Arkansas in Fayetteville last year). That’s also why BYU can’t afford to overlook the Rockets with Michigan State up next. Toledo could easily pull the upset.

With a loss here, simply getting bowl eligible wouldn’t be easy for the Cougars. With games remaining at Michigan State, at Boise State and at Cincinnati, plus Mississippi State at home, this is an absolute must-win for BYU.