How does BYU get to 10 wins?
Portland State, SJSU, USU, Fresno , UMass, Hawaii, UNLV = 7 wins. One of these teams probably ends up being better than expected, but BYU should/must win all 7.
Next three most-likely wins ECU (are they good? I can't keep track), BSU, Miss. St. I actually don't know if Miss. St. is good or not, just assuming they are "dangerous." IMO, BYU should win these three games. Is that expecting too much?
That gets you to 10
Utah, Wisconsin, LSU: Seriously, Utah should be beatable this year. Utah and BSU could move between tiers here, just depending on how they turn our. Making 10 all the more reasonable.
Looking at it, I feel like beating Utah and getting to 10 wins will make most of us pretty happy.