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Jul 12, 2017
11:07:20am
BYUheaven All-American
Let's take an actual look at the schedule instead of just doing a CB overreact

because the names of top 25 teams did not make the list.

Tier 1 game (probable top 25 teams):

Alabama

Tier 2 games (25-50 RPI)

UT Arlington: (Top 50 team last year and returns a very athletic bunch of juniors who ran us out of the MC in the NIT). This is a group of players who won the Sun Belt, won in the MC, won at Texas, and won at SMC. This team will easily be a top 50 RPI team and could wind up even higher.

Tier 3 games (50-100 RPI)

Utah: Should be right around 80-90 would be my guess. Will be a tough well coached team. Not having Kuzma will hurt them but Collette should be good. Their season will probably hing on the SMU and Long Beach transfers and if 4 star Jayce Johnson can make a jump to the college level.

Wild Card teams that could sneak into the top 100.

ILLINOIS STATE: They were a top 40 RPI last year but they lose some seniors. Most years the MVC has three team in the top 100....some years they have 4. They lose Wichita State and get Valpo which will hurt their overall conference RPI moving forward. Can Illinois State be one of those three top 100 teams?

PRINCETON: They lose two seniors from last years top 50 RPI team and we play at their place. If we can win at their place and they can stay in the top 100 this will help our RPI.

TEXAS SOUTHERN: They return 6 of their top 7 scorers and minutes played on a team that finished 105 in RPI last year. Would be HUGE if they sneak into the top 100

Meh (100-200 RPI)

UMASS (I wish the Barclays was doing a tourney so we have a chance to play Minnesota): UMass very well would have made the jump into a top 100 team for 17-18....but their coach was fired and I believe 6 or 7 players transferred. I would imagine that they will be top 200 because of their A10 SOS.....win vs. a top 200 team on a neutral court. There could be worse things.

NIAGARA: They return 100% of their minutes from last years team that finished middle of the pack in the MAAC. Last year the MAAC finished with 4 teams in the 100-200 range and 2 in the top 100). With all returning minutes, Niagara will make a jump into the 100-200 range.

UTAH STATE: They lose Moore and Rector but outside of them they were really really young last year. I expect them to make a jump next year to the low 100's and then be a solid team in 18-19 and 19-20 when we get them at home and at Vivint Arena (great scheduling for us). If we win this game, it should be a win against a 120 RPI team on the road that will be great.

UVU: All the key players are back except for Poydras. They will be hungry and this will be a dog fight and the biggest game ever to played at UVU. UVU will be in the 100-200 range next year... it will be interesting to see where they end up. This will be a TOUGH game and will be a road win.

Crap (200+):

WEBER STATE: They lose Senglin, should take a step back into the low 200's.

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE: Was crap last year. Top 4 scorers were all seniors. Expect an awful team again.

IDAHO STATE: They return all but 30 minutes from last years team....but the team rarely won and was ranked 340.

BYUheaven
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BYUheaven
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