My Ute friend and I were discussing conference realignment. We came up with a list of questions that we think nobody in the media, particularly Utah sport media, seems to be talking about much. Does Cougarboard have answers?
First, I am of the mindset right now that that BYU will most likely never be included in any P5 conference as they are currently organized.
Contrary to what my Ute friend says, BYU not going to a P5 conference has less to do with level of play (one bad year doesn’t erase decades of solid performance), but more to do with TV Revenue, Geographical, and Cultural fit more than level of play. Don’t get me wrong, the level of play of a team trying to get into a P5 must be respectable, and in my opinion, BYU's level of play over the last decade merits inclusion, as did Utah and TCU. But so has Boise, Houston, and a ½ dozen other schools. BYU is not in a P5 because it is not a cultural fit and because of widening social and political gaps, will most likely never be included. This is a double-edged sword, as what has allowed BYU to thrive as a tier 1 institution and field decent teams over the years, is also limiting it growth.
Second, I believe that BYU will not voluntarily go back to any G5 conference if there is support from a major media provider and key boosters demand it, or the next round of conference realignment eliminates the possibly of P5 inclusion and there is a better alternative available than the MWC or ACC.
We both agree that there is a big change the Big 12 implodes, and if it does, it could significantly impact all three of Utah's D1 schools.
So, our questions are: