and based on numbers only, here are a couple of surprises:

NC State upsets SDSU
Cal/So. Florida winner upsets Temple
Texas upsets Cincy in the First round
Purdue upsets Saint Mary's

Wichita State & New Mexico in the Sweet 16 (Wichita St. has the 2nd highest rating from Pomeroy after Kentucky in the South Region)

Here are couple other nuggets based on numbers...

Belmont vs G'Town is a possibility for a 14-3 upset
BYU/Iona vs Marquette another 14-3 possible upset
Texas/Cincy winner vs. Florida State in round 2 is very close for a 6 or 11 seed to make it to the sweet 16
Iowa St. vs. UConn in the 1st round (closest of the 8-9 match-ups)
Kansas St. vs. So. Miss has the largest differential based on Pomeroy's #'s in the 8-9 match-ups with K State winning.
Wisconsin and Syracuse are basically even based on numbers, with Wisc having a slight edge, in a potential sweet 16 match-up