Incomplete Analysis: Distance is as important a factor as Down

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Feb 12, 2013
10:24:16am

Onside Schtick

Incomplete Analysis: Distance is as important a factor as Down

Not all 2nd, 3rd, and 4th downs are created eaqual. 2nd and short may have been more predictable than 2nd an long. Not even 1st down is always the same, sometimes you get a 1st and 5 due to penalty or a 1st and > 10 for the same reason. It's a good start though.

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Onside Schtick

Previous username: AboveTheFray
Bio page: Onside Schtick
Joined: Oct 31, 2006
Last login: Sep 16, 2016
Total posts: 1,791 (4 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Anae: "Pass on every 1st down, run on every 2nd down..."

Indy Coug

2/11/13 9:13pm

these are very interesting numbers - great report. One takeaway

2/11/13 9:15pm

BYU had the 9th lowest avg yards to go on 3rd down

Indy Coug

2/11/13 9:23pm

makes a lot of sense. I would have guessed before seeing that

2/11/13 9:25pm

Thanx for that, Indy.

Mantis Mutu

2/11/13 9:26pm

I have a play-by-play database of 1.2 million plays from 2005-2012

Indy Coug

2/11/13 9:27pm

wowzers

2/11/13 9:28pm

IC lives in PA and has a boring life, doesn't get out much

Heinz57

2/11/13 9:50pm

that makes sense

2/12/13 10:58am

Where did you get the data? I would love to have access to it.

jholling

2/11/13 9:51pm

RE: Where did you get the data? I would love to have access to it.

Indy Coug

2/12/13 6:27am

I'm curious. I have a perception that Anae gets conservative on 1st down

RebelScum

2/11/13 10:53pm

RE: I'm curious. I have a perception that Anae gets conservative on 1st down

Indy Coug

2/12/13 6:22am

Can you do a comparison between these stats and offensive stats by down

2/12/13 7:42am

Math... Yuck.

TongaCougar

2/11/13 10:50pm

Analytics, actually. Hope that makes you feel better. :-)

RebelScum

2/11/13 11:31pm

I'd be interested to see those percentages from the past two seasons under Doman

2/11/13 11:53pm

If Greenrake was the OC, it would go something like this...

Swickit

2/11/13 11:53pm

Isn't the punt formation primarily used on defense?

Belboz

2/12/13 8:02am

Anae's ratio is more balanced and less predictable in 1st and 2nd down than NCAA

Horacio Caine

2/12/13 6:24am

Very interesting post. Thanks for putting it together and posting it.

2/12/13 7:09am

I'd be curious what those numbers are for those that finished in the Top 25

BlackBart

2/12/13 8:17am

There is no such thing as an "ideal" pass-run ratio

Indy Coug

2/12/13 8:48am

what we are failing to see here is that anae was passing on first

chazen

2/12/13 8:58am

RE: what we are failing to see here is that anae was passing on first

BYUALWAYSNUM1

2/12/13 9:47am

Incomplete Analysis: Distance is as important a factor as Down

2/12/13 10:24am

The analysis was framed in the manner the original claim was presented

Indy Coug

2/12/13 10:30am

I don't know how some of you have the time to compile all these stats...

2/12/13 10:39am

Now, that's the Indy that I know.

WhyaskY?

2/12/13 10:39am

Great information Indy. Thanks. No idea how you have the time to do this kind

doups3

2/12/13 11:38am

Are you sure what he meant was opponents know what Anae was going to call and

ChinoCoug

2/12/13 11:45am

I can't divine some hidden inner meaning, so I take his comments at face value

Indy Coug

2/12/13 11:51am

i hope we do pass on first down 40% of the time

mike2744

2/12/13 1:23pm

I was never once frustrated by Anae.

Swiadomy

2/12/13 6:00pm

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