the odds of Utah getting to 9-9 are probably better than the odds of BYU

Jan 15, 2016
12:20:47pm

unctoothman All-American

finishing the regular season undefeated. That scenario for each team is the only way each team can feel pretty comfortable with their at-large chances.

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unctoothman

Bio page: unctoothman
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Last login: Apr 18, 2024
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The transformation continues: State of 2015-2016 season. On track for 26 wins and an NCAA bid. Utes won't make NCAAs.

roseyscenario All-American

1/15/16 11:36am

Unless Utah gets really abused in Conference play they are probably in

ayfan

1/15/16 11:40am

the PAC is going to be a jumbled mess of .500 records in conference play

BYUheaven

1/15/16 11:46am

A 10-8 Utah probably gets in. A 9-9 Utah gets in if they win a couple in the

jreid191

1/15/16 11:57am

Agreed. But, I expect the Utes to go 7-11 in PAC 12 play.

roseyscenario

1/15/16 12:01pm

Wins over TTU, BYU, Duke, SDSU, Colorado.....and they still have a lot of

thebruce

1/15/16 11:45am

Well, they are going to have to get it with 14 losses. And Pomeroy has them at a paltry #67 right now.

roseyscenario

1/15/16 11:50am

The committee has been notorious for leaving out teams on losing streaks

BYUheaven

1/15/16 11:54am

well - obviously if they go on a massive losing streak that changes things

thebruce

1/15/16 12:48pm

Utah RPI = 35. BYU = 55. If the

ALUF 1990

1/15/16 12:03pm

BYU Pomeroy = 43. Utah = 69. BYU is trending higher, Utes lower. Chances of Utes going 9-9 = slim.

roseyscenario

1/15/16 12:07pm

Odds of Utah making it are much higher than BYU

CougAdventurer

1/15/16 12:07pm

Nope, a lot of prediction modules have them finishing conference play at 8-10

BYUheaven

1/15/16 12:12pm

If they go 8-10 then they'd probably need to advance to the CCG to make it

jreid191

1/15/16 12:20pm

the odds of Utah getting to 9-9 are probably better than the odds of BYU

unctoothman

1/15/16 12:20pm

You'll be hard pressed to find anyone agree that BYU must go undefeated to make NCAAs. Expect 15-3 in WCC will dance.

roseyscenario

1/15/16 12:26pm

and the "odds" actually favor us as the winner of every game from here on out

BYUheaven

1/15/16 12:29pm

+1. Blain Fowler said on BYU SN that BYU dances with 14-4 WCC +2 in tourney. He may called him beyond ludicrous.

roseyscenario

1/16/16 6:53am

17-3 (which likely includes a Zags loss) means one win at most against an RPI

unctoothman

1/15/16 1:05pm

There'd be at least 2 RPI top-50 wins if we win 17 conference games

jreid191

1/15/16 2:43pm

Gonzaga and who? BYU and Zags beat SMC and they are not a top 50 team.

unctoothman

1/15/16 2:53pm

If St. Mary's goes 15-3 in conference they'll probably be top 40 in RPI.

jreid191

1/15/16 3:03pm

Perhaps in part because BYU was 35 on Pomeroy, which is carrying more weight every year.

roseyscenario

1/15/16 2:55pm

They have to stay .500 or above and they are fine. If they slip under .500 then

BYUheaven

1/15/16 12:08pm

Where do I signup for your newsletter

Jennerstein

1/15/16 12:13pm

Thanks. It's mostly in Pomeroy and my favorite unnamed leadership guru.

roseyscenario

1/15/16 12:16pm

If BYU plays defense in every game the rest of the season like they did

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