From the state. It looks like Utah is an okay team when they are healthy. Utah could do well in the PAC-12 tourney which might get them into the Dance since the PAC-12 gets 4-6 teams. But it's still a fairly slim shot.
BYU would have to win the WCC tourney outright. I don't see that happening against the Zags and the blind mice that are the WCC refs. Too hard to beat both.