My Account
Sign up, and CougarBoard will remember which categories you want to view.
Sign up
Report problem with this ad
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Sep 16, 2018
9:52
:46
am
cougarmanguy
All-American
Especially since last year BYU underperformed to talent substantially
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Report problem with this ad
cougarmanguy
Bio page
cougarmanguy
Joined
Jul 10, 2012
Last login
Mar 15, 2020
Total posts
73,268 (28,671 FO)
Report problem with this ad
Messages
Author
Time
Sagarin's new rating system with last year always weighting so heavily is dumb
RdF3
9/16/18 9:47am
Wait till week 5 or 6 when last year’s results no longer factor in
NorCal_Coug
9/16/18 9:48am
Answered my question
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 9:49am
He's keeping last year's results as 15% of the rating all year long.
RdF3
9/16/18 9:51am
Wow. Idiotic
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 9:52am
Especially since last year BYU underperformed to talent substantially
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 9:52am
It's not idiotic. It makes the model more accurate overall. There will always
molodyets
9/16/18 10:00am
I’ll disagree with you on that slightly
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 10:25am
You make large assumptions that he didn't consider and test that as well.
molodyets
9/16/18 10:41am
I guess - his process is evolving - he’s said so in interviews this fall
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 10:45am
It's never perfect. These things are shooting for 75% ish straight up and 53%+
molodyets
9/16/18 10:51am
Sure. no disagreement. I think we can agree on that statement fully
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 10:59am
When does last year drop off completey
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 9:49am
2019
BYUinTX
9/16/18 9:59am
<< Deleted >>
Mr. Scoobs
9/16/18 9:49am
As long as it is consistent what is the problem?
TNT
9/16/18 9:50am
I think it's dumb that even in December, 15% of a team's rating will be based
RdF3
9/16/18 9:52am
What do you propose?
TNT
9/16/18 9:53am
Not using it?
cougarmanguy
9/16/18 9:54am
Dropping off last year's results after week 4 last he used to.
RdF3
9/16/18 9:54am
It does. They back test these things. How do you expect it to perform
molodyets
9/16/18 9:59am
And what's he using a base accuracy off of? The AP top 25? His opinion of how
RdF3
9/16/18 10:10am
On field results of what it predicted vs the outcome.
molodyets
9/16/18 10:12am
It would make sense to do a 5 year average of final ratings.
specsauce
9/16/18 10:08am
<< Deleted >>
Abe Froman
9/16/18 10:19am
Report problem with this ad
Posting on CougarBoard
In order to post, you will need to either
sign up
or
log in
.
Report problem with this ad
