You should run it again for last years bracket. UVA was knocked out in the first
Round with the same style defense. I’d be interested to see what it would predict.
One of the things I would include is pace of play with frankly both too slow and too fast being somewhat docked. If you play too slowly and get down by eight, in many ways for teams that play plodding and slow, it’s like being down 20. For teams that play too quickly but have mediocre shooting percentages from the field and 3pt FGAs, this is a big red flag as well.
Anyway, like I said, very cool project. Keep it up, and post more info as you go. This type of work is fascinating.