But that's pure speculation.
The OP's assumption is essentially that if Utah lost 5 last year, the same 5 losses should be expected.
With a freshman QB at ASU this year and no N'Keal in SLC, that's not going to be an easy victory. Certainly possible but from today's vantage point, it would be an upset.
What a lot of BYU fans don't get about P5 schedules is how difficult road games are against better/comparable talent. You're not going to win every game. Last year's ASU game for Utah was the second road game in a row against a talented team.
This year, Utah has a home game, then a bye, the @Oregon State, then ASU. I think that plays a lot more favorable for Utah as well.