We already know with certainty that our defense could not stop a local pop Warner team from running for 250 yards. Boise State will score on every possession whether they start at the 45 yard line or the 25. So even if we only recover 30% of our tries, we still take them off the field 4 times in the game. And if we kick a field goal on two of those, there's a chance we could keep the game reasonable, say by losing 42-6 rather than 56-0.