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Nov 13, 2019
3:14:51pm
BGRTHNUMEGO All-American
So about that NL rookie of the year vote, Alonso v. Soroka
https://twitter.com/DolphHauldhagen/status/1194082098400964613

https://twitter.com/TensionShoppers/status/1194393380698112000

And from Athletic writer Andrew Baggally:

"Soroka’s 169 ERA+ was fourth in the majors among starting pitchers, behind only Gerrit Cole, Hyun-Jin Ryu and Justin Verlander. His 2.68 ERA was fifth, behind the aforementioned trio and Jacob deGrom....I thought the answer would be obvious when I started to break down Alonso and Soroka by their value. Surely, Alonso would trounce Soroka and win the battle and the WAR.

Instead, that’s when things got really interesting.

Soroka ranked ninth in the majors in Win Probability Added (3.7). Alonso ranked 17th (3.5) – not a great way to predict future performance, but a good way to measure the kind of impact a player had on his team.

Wins Above Average? Soroka 4.2 > Alonso 2.9.

Alonso beat Soroka in fWAR (4.8 to 4.0), but Fangraphs utilizes FIP in their formula – again, making their tabulation more applicable as a predictive tool. I gave greater weight to Baseball-Reference.com’s results-oriented version, which uses runs allowed per nine innings rather than FIP. And Soroka was the clear bWAR winner (5.7 to 5.0).

In other words … using the most respected current statistical measures that allow us to make the least dodgy comparison between a right-handed pitcher and a slugging first baseman, yes, you can make a clear case that Soroka’s season was every bit as valuable if not more so than Alonso’s."
BGRTHNUMEGO
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