and lose our bowl game, it would be tough to drop from 7 all the way out of the top 20.

So while it's possible that we finish outside the top 20, I think it's unlikely. We'd have to:

- Have 3+ losses out of the final four games
- Have 2+ losses of which one was a pretty bad showing / blowout

I think our absolute worst case is to drop 2 of the last 4. I don't see us getting blown off the field no matter what. So worst case in my mind is a 15-20 finish.

To be at "mark my words, they won't finish in the top 20" levels of certainty? Someone be frontin'.