I'd say it's about a 40% chance at best (and that might be rosy). LSU losing to UGA is at least a 10% chance (probably more like 30%) and OU blowing out Baylor and passing Utah is at least a 30% chance. Not to mention Utah's got at least a 30% chance of losing on Friday. So no, I'm not willing to bet Utah in v. Utah not in. Maybe on Saturday after the Big 12 championship I'll be confident I know how the result is going to go, but I have no idea right now.