Mar 25, 2020
2:39:07pm
2:39:07pm
.5% and 1% die each year of all causes. But the numbers in Italy are deaths
in just one month, and as you said, the numbers will continue to rise.
If we optimistically project the numbers that Italy is 1/2 way done with the deaths and they will not have any more deaths after 2 months the numbers change a little.
That would be >13,000 deaths in 2 months. Italy has population about 68M giving 0.2% of their population dying in 2 months. If 0.5 to 1% population dies every year, then in the same 2 months there would be 56-113K deaths in italy of other causes.
That means 23 of every 100 deaths in Italy over the 2 months would be from Coronavirus. If my math checks out.
If we optimistically project the numbers that Italy is 1/2 way done with the deaths and they will not have any more deaths after 2 months the numbers change a little.
That would be >13,000 deaths in 2 months. Italy has population about 68M giving 0.2% of their population dying in 2 months. If 0.5 to 1% population dies every year, then in the same 2 months there would be 56-113K deaths in italy of other causes.
That means 23 of every 100 deaths in Italy over the 2 months would be from Coronavirus. If my math checks out.
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