My Account
Sign up, and you can make all message times appear in your timezone.
Sign up
Report problem with this ad
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Mar 25, 2020
5:19
:33
pm
BYU'01
Starter
If Case #s are a Joke (constrained by testing) why are Case-#s-per-Capita not?
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Report problem with this ad
BYU'01
Bio page
BYU'01
Joined
Jan 18, 2003
Last login
Apr 19, 2024
Total posts
7,548 (115 FO)
Report problem with this ad
Messages
Author
Time
Numbers that matter.
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:05pm
Nice work and good thoughts.
Uncle Bluto
3/25/20 2:07pm
Good stuff. Where is the link?
jholling
3/25/20 2:47pm
Cogent post, dude.
Brisco
3/25/20 2:12pm
I think the key here is what can the health care system handle.
bald man
3/25/20 2:15pm
The health care system already got swamped in Italy
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:19pm
The reality is as a society we've accepted the flu deaths, the drunk driving de
bald man
3/25/20 2:24pm
I see that statement all the time. But, I can't help but think, there's a CHANCE
monteburns
3/25/20 2:23pm
Oh, I'm firmly on the this is stupid, why are we cratering the economy
bald man
3/25/20 2:25pm
I think we DO overrun the health care system, but Italy shows us that cost
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:26pm
What's the 180k number? Worst case? Expected? Median case?
Plato
3/25/20 2:29pm
CDC often quotes 180K to 200K dead as a near-worst case scenario
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:30pm
Wow. That's not a lot. Shutdown math doesn't work.
Plato
3/25/20 2:34pm
The problem is that we know what 5,000 dead people look like.
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:38pm
Narcotic overdose deaths in the US
bluecheese
3/25/20 2:52pm
I post this more as a reality check then a "are we doing the right thing"
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:58pm
*1.7 million
Zoobieman
3/26/20 7:00pm
.5% and 1% die each year of all causes. But the numbers in Italy are deaths
libertycoug
3/25/20 2:39pm
Math looks right.
proudcugr
3/25/20 2:48pm
We're not Italy, but the numbers would give the US 69K deaths over the next 2 mo
libertycoug
3/25/20 3:06pm
"we're not Italy" is the key phrase
proudcugr
3/25/20 3:38pm
Very good points. I like the way you think
libertycoug
3/25/20 4:10pm
I love a good numbers debate. But I freely admit I'm no disease expert
proudcugr
3/25/20 5:39pm
How do you know the preventative measures worked. There
kotacoug
3/25/20 3:48pm
could you define overreaction for me? In a numbers discussion
libertycoug
3/25/20 4:23pm
This is a macro level discussion. Bringing grandma into
kotacoug
3/25/20 4:35pm
I like the question.
proudcugr
3/25/20 5:47pm
It makes on wonder, is it the fact that is not as bad as we thought or have we
airwolf
3/25/20 4:06pm
If Case #s are a Joke (constrained by testing) why are Case-#s-per-Capita not?
BYU'01
3/25/20 5:19pm
Case #'s per capita are also a joke. These #'s are deaths per capita.
proudcugr
3/25/20 5:28pm
RE: Case #'s per capita are also a joke. These #'s are deaths per capita.
BYU'01
3/25/20 5:44pm
Of course they're going up, but we can see where we are right now.
proudcugr
3/25/20 6:07pm
A month ago Italy had low/no deaths from Covid; a month later one region lost
BYU'01
3/25/20 7:16pm
Report problem with this ad
Posting on CougarBoard
In order to post, you will need to either
sign up
or
log in
.
Report problem with this ad
