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Mar 26, 2020
8:57:34pm
All-American Truly Addicted User
It is absolutely untrue that the Imperial College report is being “walked back.”
https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1243294815200124928


neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
·
5h
Replying to
@neil_ferguson
2/4 -This is not the case. Indeed, if anything, our latest estimates suggest that the virus is slightly more transmissible than we previously thought. Our lethality estimates remain unchanged.
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neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
·
5h
3/4 - My evidence to Parliament referred to the deaths we assess might occur in the UK in the presence of the very intensive social distancing and other public health interventions now in place.
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neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
·
5h
4/4 - Without those controls, our assessment remains that the UK would see the scale of deaths reported in our study (namely, up to approximately 500 thousand).

They revised their projection specifically because of measures taken to prevent its spread. The earlier estimate assumed no such measures would be taken.

It is stunning how badly he is being misrepresented here.
Originally posted on Mar 26, 2020 at 8:57:34pm
Message modified by All-American on Mar 26, 2020 at 9:47:26pm
Message modified by All-American on Mar 26, 2020 at 9:59:22pm
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All-American
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Mar 26, 9:11pm

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