https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1243294815200124928
neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
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5h
Replying to
@neil_ferguson
2/4 -This is not the case. Indeed, if anything, our latest estimates suggest that the virus is slightly more transmissible than we previously thought. Our lethality estimates remain unchanged.
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neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
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5h
3/4 - My evidence to Parliament referred to the deaths we assess might occur in the UK in the presence of the very intensive social distancing and other public health interventions now in place.
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neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
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5h
4/4 - Without those controls, our assessment remains that the UK would see the scale of deaths reported in our study (namely, up to approximately 500 thousand).
They revised their projection specifically because of measures taken to prevent its spread. The earlier estimate assumed no such measures would be taken.
It is stunning how badly he is being misrepresented here.