the virus has incurred to date worldwide. Exponential growth straight through 100% is not how it works. I don't understand why anyone would defend that idea.
Have social measures had an effect? No doubt. But the idea that the death rate would look anything like the OP suggests is absurd.
No matter where you look, regardless of the country and its level of draconian measures, the virus likes to be stuck at around 1 out of 1000 infected.
But, had the OP's suggestion and its 10 thumbs up people had their way, Italy would have been dead in two weeks. There would be 20% of us left by tomorrow. But, yeah, we stopped going to basketball games and saved the lives of 280 million people?! Come on.