True, I'm no expert, but read about it here.

Apr 1, 2020
12:51:50am

Mobojo Contributor

A call to honesty in pandemic modeling - Wesley Pegden - Medium

Recently there has been a proliferation of modeling work which has been used to make the point that if we can stay inside, practice extreme social distancing, and generally lock-down nonessential…

https://medium.com/@wpegden/a-call-to-honesty-in-pandemic-modeling-5c156686a64b

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Mobojo

Previous username: (Private)
Bio page: Mobojo
Joined: Sep 3, 2012
Last login: Apr 18, 2024
Total posts: 1,282 (37 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Long term play...

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 12:24am

Hydroxychloroquin

CougarCanuck76

4/1/20 12:33am

Or we realize it's not as bad as the media is telling us??

ReggaeCoug

4/1/20 8:29am

There is no plan

BYU '80

4/1/20 12:35am

Open things up

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 12:41am

There's no way that any of the governors are willing to do that. They already

wabluecoug

4/1/20 12:44am

Might as well shut us down until a vaccine

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 1:00am

Who has a shut down or lock down order into June?

ReggaeCoug

4/1/20 8:30am

Virginia

MarylandFan

4/1/20 8:50am

Everyone will soon unless they reverse course

BYU '80

4/1/20 2:32pm

If it wasn't an election year, maybe...

DeekLyfter

4/1/20 8:58am

I see no way they will do that. They know that

BYU '80

4/1/20 2:32pm

No plan. Just hoping for a miracle at the moment

Memmo

4/1/20 12:40am

There isn't a plan, at least that's the feeling that I was left with after

wabluecoug

4/1/20 12:41am

Inslee is in way over his head

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 12:43am

Who isn’t? Who do you think is doing a really good job?

UpperCirqueUte

4/1/20 12:52am

Inslee: “We’re going to hit this hard until we eliminate it and it doesn’t...

ORCoug

4/1/20 5:43am

I agree

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 10:51am

Ya, just buying time to beef up hospital capabilities, discover treatments and develop a vaccine

Mobojo

4/1/20 12:44am

Govt needs to shoot straight...

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 12:46am

how do you know it's not going away,people were saying the same thing about SARS

franklyvulgar

4/1/20 12:48am

True, I'm no expert, but read about it here.

Mobojo

4/1/20 12:51am

This is what I’m worried about... that we are just pushing off the curve

Saxa

4/1/20 4:41am

^ Read this article!

BluebloodOR

4/1/20 11:02am

Nobody can answer anything with certainty right now...

CougTimesTwo

4/1/20 12:52am

virus's are fickle, they tend to be seasonal SARS was deadlier but also

franklyvulgar

4/1/20 1:08am

Yeah all of that will take us into 2021

BYU '80

4/1/20 2:33pm

So far almost every country peaks about 30 days after the first 10 deaths. CSoul

777

4/1/20 12:51am

My question if one person started it world-wide, without effective treatments, what's to stop any single person

Mobojo

4/1/20 12:59am

Personally I think it's still spreading even in quarantine. Many people picked

777

4/1/20 1:15am

The social distancing and shelter in place weren't meant to stop the spread

Doogal McCougar

4/1/20 8:55am

Not true. Jay Inslee did.

ORCoug

4/1/20 9:12am

But the question will be will we peak again if they open things up

BYU '80

4/1/20 2:35pm

But it’s less deadly than the flu.

StalwartBraveTrue

4/1/20 2:46pm

We are much larger than those other countries. Using the same 10 deaths starting

Cougar8Duck

4/2/20 2:38am

Long term play is for a much bigger government.

PhilPete

4/1/20 1:15am

It doesn't seem like we're willing to accept ANY new Covid-19 cases, even if the healthcare system can accommodate them.

Brisco

4/1/20 1:18am

It's a social media disease for sure. Nobody can do anything or share anything

777

4/1/20 1:22am

I think the government will lose credibility and control

Busiturtle

4/1/20 5:54am

Herd immunity slowly over time

Modiolus

4/1/20 6:51am

You mean slowly, a three year lockdown

viper

4/1/20 8:22am

Not going to be fun but, here is my stab(Testing and Isolation, Korea model)...

cypresstx

4/1/20 7:11am

The strategy with quarantine is to experiment with government power. Look at..

ToasterChive

4/1/20 7:42am

Our best hope is that enough people have been unknowingly infected that we get

deljdc

4/1/20 8:16am

How can it be proven though? Especially anytime this year?

BYU '80

4/1/20 2:37pm

By the falloff in new infections that would occur because of it.

deljdc

4/1/20 2:41pm

Re "wildfire" do we have any good evidence to say that more moderate

Plato

4/1/20 8:35am

Herd immunity. Social distance until enough have had it.

Robert Baratheon

4/1/20 11:09am

World domination by Trump. Finally!

StalwartBraveTrue

4/1/20 2:47pm

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