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Apr 3, 2020
5:45:50am
BamaCoug All-American
Sweden appears to trending in the wrong direction on growth curves

This site (Sweden data linked here) is really helpful to look at true trends overall and for individual countries as it shows the log growth rates and the daily trend. The overall log figure is important and the lower the number, closer to 1.00, the better.  The color of the number also represents the day-to-day trend.  Blue figures represent a positive trend: a decreased rate of growth of new cases/deaths OR an increased rate of newly recovered patients. Red figures represent the opposite and signal bad trends. Lot's of red figures for Sweden, trending in the wrong direction.  Yes, they are very small by comparison and may be willing to let the disease cycle through their less susceptible population, but time will tell on their course.  On each box, you can toggle to the respective graph to see the actual number of new cases/deaths and get a longer trend than just the last 8 days as the tables show.

Contrast that to the world as a whole  where the trend has been positive as far as new cases for 6 of the last 7 days.

Or the USA as a whole where the curve in new cases is starting to slow sigfinicantly and hopefully will be peaking in the next few days. Great streak going on with 7 straight days of a blue number... it's a slow slowing, but a strong trend regardless.

Italy is definitely past the peak in both new cases and in deaths, and Spain looks to be past their peak in new cases, and nearing or at their peak in deaths.  UK raw numbers and death rates are bad. 

BamaCoug
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BamaCoug
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