I think May 15th at the latest many of the restrictive bans will be eliminated, perhaps even as soon as May 1st. And when I say restrictive bans I am talking about employers going back to work. Schools will close for the rest of this school year and sporting events won't be back that quickly.

The tricky part of it all is that New York is going to be over the curve and mostly done by then. What about California? Currently they seem to have very little strain on their hospital system and it might even make sense for more of them to get it right now (not that I am advocating people get sick, just that when we talk about a curve and hospital capacity they might wish they had it more spread out now when they can actually deal with it.

It will be interesting to see if the economy can get going again quickly. We have never been through anything quite like this with unemployment, stay at home orders and the massive stimulus bill. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.