significantly to 14.3%. Even with this very high day (40%+ higher than any other country has recorded in any day) there is hope that we are slowing down in rate of increase as we approach the daily deaths peak that CDC currently has forecasted for April 15 in the United States. Italy and others have shown an up and down pattern similar to what we have seen lately as they approach a kind of peak before what is actually a fairly long and drawn out period of slow reduction that has lots of fits and starts.

The graph in this YouTube video of Dr. Birx's most recent briefing shows you the range of possibilities. Until now what I've seen had suggested to me that we would peak near 3,500-4,000 dead in one day (which is the high side of the graph in the video). I still doubt we will peak at 2,200 but I don't think we will see the worst case either. Somewhere in the middle. But still losing close to 500 per day into June.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWFOKznwNhQ