I know that. But do I trust myself in the beginning to have picked the 1/30?

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Aug 12, 2020
11:28:27pm

Adwight All-American

I know that. But do I trust myself in the beginning to have picked the 1/30?

To me... not likely.

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Adwight

Previous username: tebowned
Bio page: Adwight
Joined: Apr 4, 2009
Last login: Apr 25, 2024
Total posts: 11,009 (0 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Deal or No Deal. You have the choice between million case or the .01 case.

Adwight

8/12/20 11:02pm

When I originally chose, how many did I choose from?

Dr MoBYU

8/12/20 11:04pm

30 cases.

Adwight

8/12/20 11:05pm

You switch. Here’s why:

Dr MoBYU

8/12/20 11:08pm

That's what I thought too.

El Careeb

8/12/20 11:12pm

Huh? There's 1/2 chance for both cases.

agentx

8/12/20 11:31pm

RE: You switch. Here’s why:

scootsy

8/13/20 6:49am

It doesn't matter because your odds are the same either way.

Pimpin4Paradise

8/12/20 11:05pm

Yep. The difference between this and the Monty Hall problem is that you are

cougarfan84

8/12/20 11:08pm

Switch

El Careeb

8/12/20 11:06pm

Nevermind. I'm wrong.

El Careeb

8/12/20 11:14pm

Keep it. Odds are the same and I'd be more mad at myself if I switched when I

Manti

8/12/20 11:06pm

Neither. Too risky at those extremes. Take the bank offer.

Parkercoug82

8/12/20 11:14pm

He literally said "no taking the deal" in this hypothetical situation.

Manti

8/12/20 11:21pm

'Tis the Monty Hall season 2020

Y2010

8/12/20 11:21pm

Haha sorry, just watched an episode of Deal or No Deal. I would switch myself.

Adwight

8/12/20 11:25pm

But you selected the other 28 cases to be removed too. This wasn't a host

Manti

8/12/20 11:27pm

I know that. But do I trust myself in the beginning to have picked the 1/30?

Adwight

8/12/20 11:28pm

I'd be so much more mad at myself for switching when I had originally picked

Manti

8/12/20 11:30pm

I know. Which is why I would switch and probably end up with the penny.

Adwight

8/12/20 11:31pm

“I came here for the million Howie! No Deal!”

ballen

8/12/20 11:59pm

After watching a lot of those "big money" shows over the years, I came to the

fredgarvin

8/13/20 12:47am

<< Deleted >>

GRCoug

8/13/20 1:08am

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