48.8% chance.

Favored in all games remaining, with BSU our toughest at 60% chance of victory, and then 88% chance vs San Diego State (though that does seem high to me). The other three games are at 95% or higher. I feel like UTSA is a better team than Texas State, Western Kentucky, and North Alabamba, so even if another off night, I just don't see us losing to any of them.

So really comes down to giving BSU everything we have, and then holding serve against SDSU.

Last nights victory was huge!