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Jun 11, 2021
8:10:42am
1CougFan Playmaker
If this 12 team playoff scenario passes, emphasis will be more on
rankings vs conference affiliation. Top 12 no matter conference. No limit on how many can make it from one conference etc. This seems to be a much more fair system for all of college football but will still create debate on ranking the top 12 teams, so schedule and winning record become the top factors.

Will be interesting to see if a 11-1 or 12-0 team from say the mountain west with 1 or 2 P5 wins would make it into the top 12 over say a Big 12 or Big 10 team with a 3 loss record etc. It seems the major debate will turn to schedule but I think teams like BYU with say 4 or 5 P5 wins (doesn't have to be 4-5 top P5 teams but mid tier, maybe one upper tier team) and say one loss would have a very good shot.

Under this new system, does BYU need to join a conference? With there being no Conference benefit/tie in to the bowl system?

Now, if they can join a P5 it boosts their schedule (or at least gives the appearance or credit of having a tougher schedule). BYU may be able to get in, and be ranked in the top 12 with two losses in this scenario, depending on the conference and how many losses other ranked teams have. There may be some favoritism in the rankings as well for teams in a conference. A heavy focus will be put on the schedules. it may actually now benefit a P5 conference to add a couple good teams to increase the opportunity of getting a team or multiple teams into that top 12, while bolstering their schedule. (it will be interesting to see how the P5 conferences react in this regard if this passes)

At any rate, other than a true playoff format where all conferences get an auto bid, this new suggestion gives more opportunity on the surface but I have to wonder if it is really a way to get more p5's in. I could see the SEC getting 4 teams in under this scenario with two loss or even 3 loss teams, arguing schedule strength to be ranked in the top 12. It might further make it more difficult for the smaller conferences to get a team in or may not move the needle much for them, they may still just get one and on rare occasions two all due to schedule.

I think this new format actually helps BYU have a better shot. The current system must take the highest ranked G5, which would no longer be the case, it all would just strictly be based on rankings in the top 12. With the way BYU schedules, I think they would have a better shot at getting in. (all the conference auto affiliation stuff would be thrown out) Even with one or maybe two losses. (two close losses to very good teams that maybe end up with no or 1 loss)

So, independence might actually become a stronger position than it is now, holding out for a P5 or staying independent may still be the strongest course to follow under this new system.
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6/10/21 11:41am
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