If your goal is the playoff it is. As Indy BYU will NEVER make the playoff. In

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Jun 17, 2021
9:51:22pm

johnnybyu All-American

If your goal is the playoff it is. As Indy BYU will NEVER make the playoff. In

the AAC I give them about a 10-20% chance every year. The AAC will get an auto big > 50% of the time and BYU has a chance to win the AAC about 20% of the time. As an Indy BYU has a 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% chance of making the playoff. Indy will have front loaded road heave schedules which means no chance of finishing in the top 10.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Jun 17, 2021 at 9:51:22pm

Message modified by johnnybyu on Jun 17, 2021 at 9:52:25pm

Message modified by johnnybyu on Jun 17, 2021 at 9:53:29pm

Message modified by johnnybyu on Jun 17, 2021 at 10:04:10pm

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johnnybyu

Bio page: johnnybyu
Joined: Jun 6, 2002
Last login: Apr 17, 2024
Total posts: 14,630 (1 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

BYU Fans & Administration need to understand the power of the 6th auto-bid

JDHouston

6/17/21 9:37pm

A team good enough to win the AAC would be good enough to win against our schedules and would be in - it’s not as cut

molodyets

6/17/21 9:40pm

Winning the AAC would be easier than running the table this year.

6/17/21 9:44pm

You think last year's Cincy team would go 12-0 against our Indy schedule?

rggee

6/17/21 9:45pm

Against last year’s schedule? Sure.

6/17/21 9:53pm

No the original schedule or a normal Indy schedule

rggee

6/17/21 9:59pm

What the AAC route really does is gives you a little margin for error. 11-1 Indy

rggee

6/17/21 9:48pm

You are correct RGGEE!

JDHouston

6/17/21 9:50pm

No, you have less margin, because you also have to win a 13th game.

6/17/21 9:55pm

You don't have to win all 13. Thats the point.

rggee

6/17/21 9:59pm

Just 12 out of the 13

Remigius

6/17/21 10:02pm

Agree—with a normal Indy schedule a one loss BYU still gets in

6/17/21 10:06pm

Over the 1 loss SEC and B1G teams? Um, no.

6/17/21 10:09pm

Not ALL of them, no. But that would get us in the top 12.

6/17/21 10:10pm

I don't think so. Last year told us all we need to know about where we will be

6/17/21 10:17pm

Yeah, ahead of them, if we took care of business in our only quality game.

6/17/21 10:18pm

So 1 loss doesn't get you in....

rggee

6/17/21 10:19pm

With a normal Indy schedule we could still get in.

6/17/21 10:30pm

You just proved my point.

6/17/21 10:22pm

No, you just proved mine.

6/17/21 10:27pm

If i'm not mistaken, we are discussing whether AAC or Indy has

6/17/21 10:39pm

Actually, no, we are not. You are in fact mistaken.

6/17/21 10:44pm

"No, you have less margin."--All American. 13 posts up.

6/17/21 10:49pm

Low margin of error isn’t the same as easy.

6/17/21 10:51pm

So the path with less margin for error is easier or harder?

6/17/21 10:57pm

As I said from the beginning.

6/17/21 11:01pm

I thought you said you didn't say that. Haha.

6/17/21 11:08pm

You thought wrong.

6/17/21 11:21pm

RE: You thought wrong.

6/17/21 11:27pm

Last year was a G5 schedule

Remigius

6/17/21 10:55pm

In the CCG if they were OOC or in the other division.

6/17/21 11:17pm

Yep we'd be playing for the AAC championship and the autobid.

rggee

6/18/21 9:33am

1 loss BYU wouldn't be ranked ahead of 2 loss SEC and B10 and some BigXII teams

rggee

6/17/21 10:19pm

11-1 Indy BYU would be snubbed. No doubt in my mind.

rggee

6/17/21 10:07pm

You don't have to win all the OOC games. And you don't even have to win

6/17/21 10:08pm

Once in the last ten years a 2 loss G5 was the best

Remigius

6/17/21 10:12pm

If you are in the AAC it definitely does. Is is the best g5 conference and it

johnnybyu

6/17/21 10:16pm

Which is the point

Remigius

6/17/21 10:57pm

And by the way: see 12-1 Boise, 2019.

6/17/21 11:03pm

Your assessment that 11-1 doesn't get you in with an Indy schedule isn't fair.

shimmy

6/17/21 10:27pm

Exactly - just win your division and win your conference championship game

BYU Fan

6/17/21 10:58pm

If your goal is the playoff it is. As Indy BYU will NEVER make the playoff. In

johnnybyu

6/17/21 9:51pm

So BYU makes the playoffs every 5 years? Wouldn’t that be nice.

6/17/21 9:55pm

I would put our chances closer to every 10. 20% chance to win the AAC and 50%

johnnybyu

6/17/21 10:02pm

I’ll have what she’s having.

6/17/21 10:07pm

It doesn’t move the needle as much as you think.

6/17/21 9:54pm

Nope. Top 20 usually gets you in if you win a conference.

jvquarterback

6/17/21 9:57pm

Tell that to Boise in 2019.

6/17/21 10:01pm

Yep Memphis took their spot at #17. Which is why AAC >>> MWC. PERCEPTION

rggee

6/17/21 10:09pm

Exactly my point. The 6th best conference champion only has to be top 20.

jvquarterback

6/17/21 10:48pm

The people you’re preaching to still think BYU has a shot to get in a P5 and that BYU is above the AAC. There are some

rainorsnow

6/17/21 11:26pm

Great points but I think many of them just want to not be called a G5 program

BYU Fan

6/17/21 11:36pm

Agree, it may just boil down to not having to be called a G5.

rainorsnow

6/17/21 11:40pm

I agree with this. Pro-indies have VERY poor logic. Look at it this way

Go_Banana

6/18/21 12:05am

These are all reasons we should join the Sun Belt

Remigius

6/18/21 5:06am

Well I’m not the one saying it, so . . .

rainorsnow

6/18/21 5:35am

<< Deleted >>

AZbronco

6/18/21 6:54am

I think people underestimate the impact of travel in the AAC for BYU. We travel

Cougar8Duck

6/18/21 1:39am

The travel argument is weak. It’s not like we’re pulling handcarts to Cincinnati

flyonawall

6/18/21 6:25am

Time zones is also part of it, esp with late start times.

Scooter

6/18/21 6:32am

Not really. The late time slot is the late time slot, regardless of where the

flyonawall

6/18/21 6:43am

BYU is already traveling all across the country as an Indy

BYU Fan

6/18/21 7:04am

And BYU's natural recruiting grounds are in Pac-12 / MWC territory.

Cougar8Duck

6/18/21 1:44am

With the schedules we have, an undefeated season will get us in

6/18/21 5:25am

<< Deleted >>

AZbronco

6/18/21 6:45am

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