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Sep 20, 2021
3:22:55pm
Still Questing All-American
Kneeling does not remove all risk — it gives you a different set of risks
I'll concede that there's roughly a 0% chance of the defense running back a 2 pt conversion while you're kneeling it (although there have been a number of times a team has tried to kneel the ball and failed as I posted above). That being said, a team's odds of winning a game are higher being up 11 than being up 10. By kneeling the ball, you're introducing a risk that the 10 point lead will be insufficient relative to the potential 11 point lead.

We can argue about whether that risk (being up 10 instead of 11) is less material than the risk of the opposing team running back a blocked extra point (which is the entire point of the poll), but it is inaccurate to say all uncontrollable risk is being eliminated by kneeling.
Still Questing
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Still Questing
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