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Oct 10, 2021
9:20:56pm
nephicoug All-American
BYU's chances at #19 in the AP poll
In the 5 years from 2015-2019 (not counting 2020 for obvious reasons), there were 106 out of 125 ranked teams that finished the season with 2 losses or more, or 84.8%.

Of the 19 teams that finished with 1 loss or less, 13 finished in the top 5. The other 6 were #8 Houston in 2015, #15 W. Michigan in 2016, #6 UCF in 2017 (finished undefeated), #7 Wisconsin in 2017 (they killed BYU that year in Provo), #11 UCF in 2018, #19 App State in 2019.

71 teams out of 125 finished with 3 losses or more, or 56.8%.

Of the 35 teams that finished with 2 losses, 22 of them finished in the top 10. 12 of the other 13 were G5 programs with Notre Dame at #12 in 2019 being the only non-G5 program to finish outside the top 10 with 2 losses or less.

When BYU has finished with 1 loss or less, we finished #1, #5, #7, #11, #12, and #13.

When BYU has finished with 2 losses, we finished ranked every time since 1977 forward (6 times - #12, #13, #14, #16, #20 [1977], and #25 [2001 with horrible SOS])

So, in 42 seasons starting with 1977, we finished with 2 losses or less 12 times, or 28.6%. We finished ranked pretty much in the Top 10 (with 1 loss or less) or Top 15 (with 2 losses).

Two takeaways:

1. If we finish this season with 2 losses or less, it will most likely be with the toughest SOS we've ever had in such a good season. I believe we will be rewarded.

2. Most everybody outside the top 10 finishes with 3 losses or more - unless they're a G5. This means there's going to be a lot of ranked teams losing between now and the end of the season.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Oct 10, 2021 at 9:20:56pm
Message modified by nephicoug on Oct 10, 2021 at 9:21:11pm
nephicoug
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nephicoug
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Related Threads Children:
One more thing about BYU's ranking history. We've been ranked every season but one since 1977 when we finish with (nephicoug, Oct 11, 2021 at 12:49pm)
Another way of looking at this is that 94% of teams ranked outside the top 5 finished with 2 losses or more (nephicoug, Oct 10, 2021 at 10:20pm)

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