that need everything to break right.

5 locks (win or lose or not play CCG weekend):
- Georgia, Michigan, Ohio State, TCU and USC.

3 should be in:
- #6 Alabama, #7 Tennessee, #8 Penn State

8 that need to win their CCG:
- ACC and AAC CCG winners would get a bid (but knock out their runner up).
- LSU, Utah, Kansas State, and Purdue would have a chance if they were to win their championship games in an upset.

5 on the sideline, praying for a miracle:
- Oregon, Florida State, Oregon State, and perhaps UCLA would need everything to break right to sneak into one of the final open spots.
- UTSA: needs to win the CUSA championship and then hope that they look good enough to somehow hop the Tulane-UCF winner.

SEC
Locks: (1)Georgia
Should be: (6)Alabama, (7)Tennessee
Work Left: (11)LSU

BIG TEN
Locks: (2)Michigan, (5)Ohio State
Should be: (8)Penn State
Work Left: Purdue

PAC 12
Locks: (4)USC
Work Left: (12)Utah
Need a Miracle: (15)Oregon, (16)Oregon State, (17)UCLA

BIG 12
Locks: (3)TCU
Work Left: (13)Kansas State

ACC
Locks: None
Work Left: (10)Clemson, (24)North Carolina
Need a Miracle: (14)Florida State

G5
Locks: None
Work Left: (18)Tulane, (22)UCF
Need a Miracle: (23)UTSA, Troy, Boise State....not really; AAC winner is in.