What about JUST the 3500? That's not bold at all. He had 3000 last year with basically one solid receiver and a bunch of injured guys and mediocre guys. That's actually pretty good for a team that ran it so much. 500 more yards with more targets and a sure-to-be better (even if only by a little) OL.... Not bold at all.
40 combined TDs might be just a little. "Only 11 more?" lol Yeah it's bold but doable. I do expect more than 19 passing TDs. Don't know if he'll get 10 rushing, but closer to 30 passing.