I personally have both BYU and Utah State with 9.3 expected wins (putting BYU at 9-3 or 10-2 and USU at 9-4 or 10-3) and Utah with 4.7 expected wins (putting them at 5-7 or 4-8).

BYU's most likely losses would be to Texas, UCF, Boise State, and Houston in that order. They should win at least 1 or 2 of those games. USU will lose to Tennessee, BYU, and Boise State with their game against Colorado State being pretty much a toss-up. Utah's most likely wins will be against Idaho State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Colorado. Other games that they'll be underdogs in but still have a chance at winning are Arizona, Oregon State, and USC. I would guess they upset 1 of those 3 but lose the other 2 and finish 5-7.