Against UCLA, 10 of their 20 points came off turnovers and another 7 was off some big plays. 21 of their 45 points against Richmond came off turnovers and 17 came off big plays (huge gains or kickoff returns). 13 of their 23 points against Louisville came off turnovers, 7 came off a drive with a 30+ yard pass play, and the other 3 came off a drive that started on the Lville 37 (Lville punted from their own 3 yard line).

I haven't seen much of anything that tells me Virginia can put together consistent sustained drives. BYU's defense is built to limit big plays and force teams to be consistent and execute very well. Virginia hasn't really done that at all this year. It doesn't mean they can't, but they've yet to really prove it.

Virginia has also given up plenty on offense and struggled. Three turnovers versus UCLA led to 21 points (two pick sixes and a fumble return for a TD) or they most likely win that game and are 3-0 and ranked coming in. And they're running a 2 QB system--we should all know too well how that ends up working out.

Virginia has 13 takeaways through 3 games leading to 44 of their 88 points. They average roughly 30 points a game and 15 of those are after turnovers.

Unless BYU turns the ball over significantly or uncharacteristically gives up some big plays I can't see how Virginia puts up more than 10. And I don't care how good Virginia's defense is supposed to be, I can't see a scenario where we put up less than 20 (and I think a lot more). Anything can happen but this seems like a game BYU should win fairly comfortably.