Cal favored by 4.5

Nov 24, 2014
5:35:01pm

AxelDC

Cal favored by 4.5

The line was -4 Cal and it has slightly increased to -4.5.

Of course, 3 points is for home field, so Cal is seen as slightly better than BYU.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Nov 24, 2014 at 5:35:01pm

Message modified by AxelDC on Nov 24, 2014 at 5:36:13pm

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AxelDC

Bio page: AxelDC
Joined: Dec 27, 2006
Last login: Mar 21, 2024
Total posts: 12,959 (287 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

BYU D > Cal D, BYU O = Cal O, BYU ST > Cal ST

newey-west

11/24/14 2:28pm

BYU O = Cal O ?

Beggar

11/24/14 2:28pm

<< Deleted >>

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:29pm

Yes

newey-west

11/24/14 2:30pm

Do those include the 4 games we had a star at QB?

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:31pm

BYU's offense (after compensating for SOS) has actually slightly improved with

newey-west

11/24/14 2:32pm

Sign number one your "advanced" metric is full of crap

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:34pm

Nope--the stats are valid. They're widely used.

newey-west

11/24/14 2:35pm

Batting Average is widely used as well

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:36pm

I've been tracking it over time. BYU was in the 50's with Taysom.

newey-west

11/24/14 2:37pm

Could it be that those defenses did poorly against BYU so they were poorly

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:38pm

Sure, there's probably some error in the model...but I don't it'd be big enough

newey-west

11/24/14 2:43pm

Something tells me Old Dominion wouldnt be the 15th rated offense in the country

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:53pm

Something tells me that Old Dominion wouldn't have the athletes that they have

newey-west

11/24/14 4:07pm

How is that relevant to this metric claiming that they are as presently

concolor couguar

11/24/14 4:13pm

I agree with you--there's error in the model.

newey-west

11/24/14 4:26pm

Explain how to look at it on the average please

concolor couguar

11/24/14 5:28pm

S&P+ for the offense was 19th after the UVA game; it's 37th now

CoopDizz

11/24/14 2:48pm

I don't. I just kept FEI.

newey-west

11/24/14 2:52pm

I actually like S&P+ better; I like what it incorporates more than what FEI does

CoopDizz

11/24/14 2:57pm

What was your BSU prediction? That's the only decent offense we've played all

Windward_Coug

11/24/14 2:30pm

I thought that BYU would lose by 14.

newey-west

11/24/14 2:31pm

RE: I thought that BYU would lose by 14.

mulletino

11/24/14 2:45pm

Yeah--that's the fan in in me speaking

newey-west

11/24/14 2:52pm

ha. their o is better than ours. our d numbers are better, but we haven't

johnnycarson

11/24/14 2:30pm

I'm citing efficiency statistics that compensate for SOS.

newey-west

11/24/14 2:31pm

i really think you have to throw out byu's last 3 games. they were pointless.

johnnycarson

11/24/14 2:36pm

You'd have to do the same thing for everyone in the sample.

newey-west

11/24/14 2:36pm

what were the numbers like for the boise game?

BlueFrog

11/24/14 2:39pm

Boise is the 53rd rated offense right now Cal is 35th

concolor couguar

11/24/14 2:55pm

#5 in passing yards v our suspect secondary play

Crush4

11/24/14 2:43pm

And BYU's O plays the D that gave up 59 to Colorado

CasualFan

11/24/14 3:11pm

lol. BYU just got a ton of milage for beating UNLV and Savanah state apparently

Zaphod

11/24/14 2:44pm

How about Cal O > BYU D; BYU O > Cal D

CasualFan

11/24/14 3:24pm

This is false.. BYU State is only just as good as Cal State

Yakov

11/24/14 3:28pm

BYU D < Cal O ...... This is what has me worried. It would be a good win for

bbd24

11/24/14 3:56pm

BYU gets smoked on this game. Cal has more talent and more to play for

DaveLB

11/24/14 5:19pm

Cal favored by 4.5

AxelDC

11/24/14 5:35pm

3 points is the pro's home field advantage

CasualFan

11/24/14 5:47pm

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