He ranks WCC 8th among 33 D-1 conferences , well ahead of the MWC at #11.
Aside from Gonzaga, BYU has 5 road games in conference play that he rates absolute toss-ups, i.e. with a predicted point spread of 3 or less.
Unless BYU improves faster than other teams, 3-2 in those games would be good.
He calls today's game 78-74 Zags and 82-70 to close out WCC regular season.
Since only historical data is considered in Pomeroy's calculations, BYU can easily outperform expectations, depending on how much the Cougar axis of ailing BB artists recover their full powers between now and March; in order of earliest expected 100% recovery: Haws, Collinsworth, Austin, and Aytes.