They are much further down the bubble list this year because they don't have enough quality wins, and they have some bad loses. I know some of you like to think this is similar to last year, but byu had more quality wins and a better RPI last year.
Also, most of the other bubble teams being bantered around have better resumes because of the conferences they play in gives them access to more wins that matter. BYU only has a handful of games this year against top50 teams vs. many of these other big conference teams that has twice as many chances. Frankly, I don't think byu did enough to boster its OOC schedule this year, even with the teams they played in Maui. TH really needs to continue to improve the OOC schedule because the WCC will bring us down, there aren't enough quality wins except Gonzaga and we can't beat them.
And this is not to mention that every year the bubble list gets smaller due to upsets in conference tourneys. BYU has worked itself so far down the bubble list the only chance they have is to beat Gonzaga to prove they belong.