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Mar 4, 2015
11:25:06pm
RE: Wednesday bubble games

Tennessee (R) over LSU - this would likely drop LSU below us BIG WIN
UMass (H) over Richmond - we need our win over UMass to look better
Pitt/Miami toss-up would be best if they both lost Miami was a little lower going into this game so that one was OK
Michigan St (H) over Purdue - having Purdue win does not improve our resume enough to justify having a bubble team win (they stay in the 50-100 RPI range) if they were to win though it won't hurt us as much as other bubble teams winning
Tulsa/Cincinnati - another toss-up both are in reach probably Cincinnatti more so, perhaps leaning a little towards Tulsa winning, but really a toss-up on the net benefit for us I actually thought Cinci winning was better.  If Cinci were to lose, it would be a road loss and would not hurt them and would not fall too much at all. Then Tulsa would pick up a quality win. With this loss, Tulsa now lost an at home game and goes down a little.....below us.
Marquette (H) over St. John's - finally an easy one to pick. Marquette beating St. John's would really hurt St. John's resume
Utah St. (R) over Wyoming - RPI, if Utah St. can win their next two games, and at least 1 in the conference tourney, our win over them gets a serious upgrade (from top 150 to top 100)
USC (R) over UCLA - UCLA is considered a long-shot at best, but a loss to USC would move them out of the mix
Nevada (H) over Col St - losing to Nevada may put Colorado State on the wrong side of the bubble
Nebraska (R) over Illinois - same as above. Losing to Nebraska would seriously dampen Illinois' chances for at-large
SJSU (H) over Boise St - not only would this hurt Boise and put us clearly ahead of them, it would really hurt the momentum they have right now in the MWC
SDSU (R) over UNLV - SDSU losing this hurts our resume, so we want them to win it (winning it doesn't help the resume)
Oregon St (H) over Oregon - this likely moves us ahead of Oregon
Hawaii (H) over UC Santa Barbara - RPI UCSB is up by 10 in the second half

Not the best of nights.  The good news is that nobody passed us up and we are most likely in front of Tulsa, Purdue, and are catching LSU.  The bad news is that Oregon and Cinci probably just cemented their spots in the tourney barring a meltdown losing streak to end the season.  Also, more good news is that Texas A&M now has zero top 50 RPI wins with the LSU loss.  That is a plus for us.  

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Related Threads Topic: Wednesday bubble games (downtownchrisbrown, Mar 3, 2015 at 11:55pm)

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