Apr 21, 2015
6:40:17am
6:40:17am
For basketball nerds only
I think most on the board that follow bball are familiar with the recruiting pipeline spreadsheet I keep (which I've now updated per yesterday's news): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AsoXzrkkdQYudEVzZTFsOVl4VjMxWXdybklNV1JySnc#gid=0
That sheet also has other tabs with various analyses I've done when interested in a question or wanted to support/contradict some common themes on message boards.
Went through and made updates, so for the reference of stats geeks like me, here's the different tabs and the data it shows.
Tab: BYU Results by Decade
Data: Shows a comparison of 10 year time periods stretching back 60 years, across all key metrics (W/L, post-season results, etc.)
Conclusion: This has been our strongest 10 year run in program history.
Tab: All NCAA Tourney Results - Sorted by Appearance
Data: Takes the top 100+ programs and documents the post-season results for each year. Also has a column that shows the # of weeks the program has been in the top 25.
Conclusion: BYU is in elite company when it comes to tourney appearances under Rose. Only 11 programs have more appearances, and we're tied with 7 others. So we're top 20 on that metric alone.
Tab: All NCAA Tourney Results - Sorted by Wins
Data: Same, just sorted so the programs with most wins are at the top (versus by appearance).
Conclusion: There are 46 programs with more NCAA wins than BYU (if you count Iona as 0.5, otherwise it's 41) right in line with where we rank in # of weeks in the top 25 (tied for 46th). BYU overshoots it's national standing in appearances, but is right about where you'd expect in this metric over the course of a decade (being in the top 40 to 50 programs).
Tab: BYU Frontcourt - Rose Era
Data: Takes the top 3 producers in the 4/5 positions each year for the last 10 and shows key stats (pts, reb, blk).
Conclusion: We've generally had 1 or 2 strong contributors down low. The Jimmer and Haws eras flexed to more guard production, but when we've had a post scorer, we've used him. Also, last year was a total anomaly.
Tab: Notable BYU Freshman Results
Data: Key stats across freshman or transfers from the past 20 years. I included players who were either solid contributors later (i.e. Winder), or big recruits (i.e. Harrison).
Conclusion: 1. Don't expect too much from freshman as even greats like Cummard, Emery, and Hartsock didn't produce much early. 2. Keep hope alive for guys that aren't stars as freshman (like Toolson), as they can develop. 3. However, the best of the best can come in right away and make some noise (Haws, Mika, Wesley).
Tab: NCAA Champions to Make the NBA
Data: Takes the last 35 years of NCAA champs and lists the number of players to make an NBA Roster (average = 4.6).
Conclusion: You better not dream of a national title unless your starting lineup is nearly all on NBA Draft boards.
Nerd out complete.
That sheet also has other tabs with various analyses I've done when interested in a question or wanted to support/contradict some common themes on message boards.
Went through and made updates, so for the reference of stats geeks like me, here's the different tabs and the data it shows.
Tab: BYU Results by Decade
Data: Shows a comparison of 10 year time periods stretching back 60 years, across all key metrics (W/L, post-season results, etc.)
Conclusion: This has been our strongest 10 year run in program history.
Tab: All NCAA Tourney Results - Sorted by Appearance
Data: Takes the top 100+ programs and documents the post-season results for each year. Also has a column that shows the # of weeks the program has been in the top 25.
Conclusion: BYU is in elite company when it comes to tourney appearances under Rose. Only 11 programs have more appearances, and we're tied with 7 others. So we're top 20 on that metric alone.
Tab: All NCAA Tourney Results - Sorted by Wins
Data: Same, just sorted so the programs with most wins are at the top (versus by appearance).
Conclusion: There are 46 programs with more NCAA wins than BYU (if you count Iona as 0.5, otherwise it's 41) right in line with where we rank in # of weeks in the top 25 (tied for 46th). BYU overshoots it's national standing in appearances, but is right about where you'd expect in this metric over the course of a decade (being in the top 40 to 50 programs).
Tab: BYU Frontcourt - Rose Era
Data: Takes the top 3 producers in the 4/5 positions each year for the last 10 and shows key stats (pts, reb, blk).
Conclusion: We've generally had 1 or 2 strong contributors down low. The Jimmer and Haws eras flexed to more guard production, but when we've had a post scorer, we've used him. Also, last year was a total anomaly.
Tab: Notable BYU Freshman Results
Data: Key stats across freshman or transfers from the past 20 years. I included players who were either solid contributors later (i.e. Winder), or big recruits (i.e. Harrison).
Conclusion: 1. Don't expect too much from freshman as even greats like Cummard, Emery, and Hartsock didn't produce much early. 2. Keep hope alive for guys that aren't stars as freshman (like Toolson), as they can develop. 3. However, the best of the best can come in right away and make some noise (Haws, Mika, Wesley).
Tab: NCAA Champions to Make the NBA
Data: Takes the last 35 years of NCAA champs and lists the number of players to make an NBA Roster (average = 4.6).
Conclusion: You better not dream of a national title unless your starting lineup is nearly all on NBA Draft boards.
Nerd out complete.
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