...Michigan is breaking in a new QB and they haven't really recruited that position very well in recent years. I know Harbaugh is a good QB coach but I'm not sure how much of an impact he can have in that short of time or if he has anything to work with at QB his first year. I don't doubt that down the road he'll have some good QB's in his depth chart.
I think the Missouri game gets overlooked a little more than it should on CB. They return a pretty decent QB in Mauk and will once again be a pretty good defensive team in the SEC. They are bringing in a new DC but have been just reloading defensive talent for several years now. They are a good bet to return to the SEC title game again. I think they will be a better, more physical and more polished version of BYU. If we can play clean, near-perfect football we might have a shot but I think it will be a game that they grind out and wear us out and win going away. If we try and play too conservatively they'll "out-conservative" and win comfortably. If we can gamble and come up big on defense and force some turnovers we can maybe take it down to the last posession.
In thinking this a bit more I might even drop the Michigan game behind the Nebraska game. Also, I think I might move the Cincinnati game in front of the Boise St game. I think Kiel will light up our secondary, especially if we play him conservatively up front like we did UVa, Houston and Utah St. We got very little pressure on O'Korn, Garretson, etc and they had career nights.