They squeaked out 2014 wins over WVU (31-30), Kansas (yes, the Jayhawks...34-30), and Oklahoma (37-33). Half their games were shootout wins. I think they lose to two out of Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Kansas St., Oklahoma St. and WVU. They also have a weak OOC schedule. While Minnesota might be decent, SF Austin and SMU decisively will not be so.

The bigger problem with the Big 12 is increasing parity. That round robin schedule won't allow for a very shiny win-loss record for the CFP selection committee.