I did this for BYU a few days ago, so it was simple to copy/paste Utah's win percentages.
Odds of this many losses given ESPN FPI probabilities:
0 L ..... 2.5%
1 L ..... 16.3%
2 L ..... 32.2%
3 L ..... 29.7%
4+ L ... 19.3%
Looks like CB likes Utah's chances better than ESPN's model.