Based on the fact that he played after this first surgery, my guess is that he comes back but maybe not until next Summer.
I don't think that he breaks Jacks record though. It's amazing to consider that he hasn't won a major since 2008 - seven full seasons without a major. He should have done it already and while I think he might win one more I can't imagine him getting close to winning 5 more.
The past seven seasons were his best shot, and he didn't win a major in any of them.