Experience and continuity both play huge roles in the college game, so projecting to have 3 Freshmen among their top 8 players w/ 2 of them projected for major minutes is likely why he has them a little lower. It's the exact same reason why he (and others like KenPom and EvanMiya) had BYU rated a lot higher last year in the preseason than many of the media outlets. Experience and continuity matters.